Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Concepcion vs Everton

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Ester Roa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

D. Concepcion play Everton in the Liga de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, D. Concepcion averaged 1.04 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. Everton averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, D. Concepcion won 2, Everton won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 18, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for D. Concepcion and 1.56 for Everton. This points to a Everton double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
D. Concepcion
18%
Draws
47%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Concepcion picked up more points recently compared to Everton.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 15%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Concepcion Everton
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.04 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Liga de Primera
D. Concepcion vs Everton
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Concepcion vs Everton
0:0
Oct 10, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
Everton vs D. Concepcion
1:0
Apr 30, 2015 Liga de Ascenso
Everton vs D. Concepcion
0:1
Dec 7, 2014 Liga de Ascenso
D. Concepcion vs Everton
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Concepcion Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Londono S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Concepcion 35 / 100
Everton 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Concepcion Everton

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Everton or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

D. Concepcion attacking → ← attacking Everton

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Concepcion scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Everton let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

D. Concepcion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Everton lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 36
1.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo15120329:1236
2U. Catolica1582535:2026
3U. De Chile1566317:1024
4Coquimbo1573522:1824
5Palestino1573523:2124
6Huachipato1572623:2223
7Everton1564519:1522
8Nublense1557318:1922
9Limache1563630:2321
10O Higgins1562719:2220
11U. De Concepcion1554613:2619
12La Serena1546521:2518
13A. Italiano1544718:2116
14D. Concepcion1542914:2314
15Cobresal15411019:2913
16Union La Calera1533914:2812