Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Tati D.
23'
Orellana F.
41' Event
Paredes R.

AI Match Summary

D. Puerto Montt in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored D. Puerto Montt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
D. Puerto Montt
39%
Draws
31%
Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt have won more games recently than Deportes Santa Cruz.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 68%
Deportes Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Deportes Santa Cruz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 3 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz
2:0
Aug 4, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt
1:0
Mar 20, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz
1:2
Sep 25, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Deportes Santa Cruz vs D. Puerto Montt
0:2
Apr 30, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Deportes Santa Cruz
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportes Santa Cruz Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 41 / 100
Deportes Santa Cruz 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Deportes Santa Cruz

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Deportes Santa Cruz has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: D. Puerto Montt stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Deportes Santa Cruz
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283