Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Regional de Chinquihue
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Vazquez L.
34' Event
Nieto B.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Guzman G. In: Coronel S.
Out: Guzman G.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between D. Puerto Montt and Magallanes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward D. Puerto Montt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
D. Puerto Montt
6%
Draws
4%
Magallanes
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on D. Puerto Montt taking it.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 68%
Magallanes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Magallanes
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 17 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes
2:0
Jul 3, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes
1:0
Feb 16, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt
2:0
Sep 16, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
Magallanes vs D. Puerto Montt
3:0
May 10, 2021 Liga de Ascenso
D. Puerto Montt vs Magallanes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Vazquez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Magallanes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 95 / 100
Magallanes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Magallanes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: D. Puerto Montt scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Magallanes let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

D. Puerto Montt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Magallanes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283