Sport Picks

Stadium Background

D. Puerto Montt vs Osorno

Chile Chile

Segunda Division 2025 Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Diaz D.
4'
Gutierrez J.
5'
Ambiado A.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2025 game between D. Puerto Montt and Osorno finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward D. Puerto Montt.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
D. Puerto Montt
30%
Draws
34%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Puerto Montt carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives D. Puerto Montt a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Segunda Division 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • D. Puerto Montt have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 20%
Osorno Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric D. Puerto Montt Osorno
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 20 14
Draws 6 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Segunda Division
D. Puerto Montt vs Osorno
2:0
Jul 6, 2025 Segunda Division
Osorno vs D. Puerto Montt
0:1
Sep 7, 2024 Segunda Division
Osorno vs D. Puerto Montt
0:0
Apr 28, 2024 Segunda Division
D. Puerto Montt vs Osorno
1:0
Jun 25, 2023 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs Osorno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Antinirre H.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Osorno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

D. Puerto Montt 36 / 100
Osorno 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
D. Puerto Montt Osorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D. Puerto Montt scored in 81% of their last 36 games.

Osorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

D. Puerto Montt went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

D. Puerto Montt VS Osorno
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

D. Puerto Montt

(Home)
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2
Antofagasta
12 Jul
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
05 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 1
Huachipato
29 Jun
D. Puerto Montt
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
21 Jun
Huachipato
0 : 2
D. Puerto Montt
Page 1 of 8

Osorno

(Away)
12 Jul
Lota Schwager
2 : 2
Osorno
04 Jul
Osorno
3 : 0
General Velasquez
21 Jun
Colchagua CD
0 : 0
Osorno
06 Jun
Osorno
1 : 1
Linares Unido
30 May
S. Morning
0 : 0
Osorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Puerto Montt24166254:1754
2Linares Unido24136539:2745
3Brujas Salamanca24116733:2739
4Osorno24116749:3436
5Provincial Ovalle24106824:2136
6Concon National241031144:3633
7General Velasquez2488829:3632
8Trasandino24911434:4228
9Real San Joaquin24641422:4322
10Santiago City24551435:5820
11Deportes Rengo24531622:5218
12Melipilla24124842:33-14
13San Antonio Unido24941148:49-27
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Main)