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Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Moldova Moldova

Super Liga 2025/2026 Joma Arena, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Asprilla Moreno J.
11' Event
Lupascu V.
46'
Sub
Ciss B. In: Magassouba S.
Out: Ciss B.

AI Match Summary

Sheriff Tiraspol in this Super Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sheriff Tiraspol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dacia Buiucani
30%
Draws
39%
Sheriff Tiraspol
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sheriff Tiraspol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Dacia Buiucani haven't matched Sheriff Tiraspol's recent run of results.
  • Sheriff Tiraspol are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sheriff Tiraspol here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dacia Buiucani Clean Sheet 18%
Sheriff Tiraspol Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dacia Buiucani Sheriff Tiraspol
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.2 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
1:0
May 3, 2026 Super Liga
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Apr 21, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Dacia Buiucani vs Sheriff Tiraspol
1:2
Mar 20, 2026 Super Liga
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Moldovan Cup
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia Buiucani
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dacia Buiucani Compare

Top Goalscorer Lupascu V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sheriff Tiraspol Compare

Top Goalscorer Asprilla Moreno J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rai
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dacia Buiucani 15 / 100
Sheriff Tiraspol 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dacia Buiucani Sheriff Tiraspol

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sheriff Tiraspol Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dacia Buiucani scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Dacia Buiucani has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Sheriff Tiraspol has conceded goals in 47% of their last 36 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dacia Buiucani VS Sheriff Tiraspol
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dacia Buiucani

(Home)
19 Sept
Zimbru Chisinau
0 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
13 Sept
Dacia Buiucani
3 : 0
CSF Balti
05 Sept
Politehnica UTM
2 : 1
Dacia Buiucani
30 Aug
Dacia Buiucani
0 : 0
Milsami
23 Aug
Real Sireti
0 : 0
Dacia Buiucani
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Sheriff Tiraspol

(Away)
20 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
7 : 0
CSF Balti
13 Sept
Milsami
0 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
05 Sept
Sheriff Tiraspol
2 : 2
Petrocub Hincesti
29 Aug
Zimbru Chisinau
2 : 1
Sheriff Tiraspol
23 Aug
Sheriff Tiraspol
4 : 0
Politehnica UTM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petrocub Hincesti 10 8 1 1 20:3 40
2 Sheriff Tiraspol 10 7 2 1 14:5 34
3 Zimbru Chisinau 10 5 3 2 18:11 32
4 Milsami 10 2 3 5 5:13 19
5 CSF Balti 10 2 2 6 4:15 16
6 Dacia Buiucani 10 0 1 9 6:20 2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)