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Daegu vs Hwaseong

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 DGB Daegu Bank Park, Daegu
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Park Dae-Hun
50'
Kim Dae-Woo
50'
Lee Jong-Sung

AI Match Summary

The K League 2 game between Daegu and Hwaseong finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daegu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Daegu
30%
Draws
34%
Hwaseong
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Daegu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Daegu come out ahead of Hwaseong on wins alone.
  • Model gives Daegu a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Daegu Clean Sheet 14%
Hwaseong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daegu Hwaseong
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.13 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 K League 2
Daegu vs Hwaseong
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daegu Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Dae-Hun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Hwaseong Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daegu 35 / 100
Hwaseong 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daegu Hwaseong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daegu found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).

Hwaseong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Daegu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Daegu VS Hwaseong
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Daegu

(Home)
25 Jul
Daegu
1 : 2
Suwon FC
18 Jul
Gimpo FC
1 : 1
Daegu
15 Jul
Daegu
0 : 1
Siheung Citizen
11 Jul
Daegu
3 : 2
Seongnam
04 Jul
Cheongju
1 : 5
Daegu
Page 1 of 6

Hwaseong

(Away)
25 Jul
Hwaseong
3 : 2
Chungnam Asan
19 Jul
Yongin FC
0 : 3
Hwaseong
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
11 Jul
Hwaseong
1 : 2
Paju Frontier
06 Jun
Hwaseong
1 : 2
Suwon Bluewings
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan18113436:2536
2Suwon Bluewings18113426:1536
3Suwon FC1896338:2433
4Seoul E-Land18103534:2433
5Daegu1895437:2532
6Hwaseong1894529:2131
7Gimpo FC1767420:1925
8Chungnam Asan1866626:2324
9Gyeongnam1866626:2624
10Seongnam1748517:1820
11Cheonan City1847722:2419
12Cheongju18212421:2818
13Paju Frontier1753917:2218
14Yongin FC1738620:2617
15Ansan Greeners17421117:3414
16Jeonnam1827920:3213
17Gimhae17241114:3410
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)