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Daejeon Korail vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Lucas Oliveira
41' Event
Kim Yoon-Jin
57' Event
Kim Yoon-Jin

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Daejeon Korail and Chuncheon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Daejeon Korail
15%
Draws
54%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Daejeon Korail come out ahead of Chuncheon on wins alone.
  • Chuncheon are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 16%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Chuncheon
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Daejeon Korail
3:3
Mar 8, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Chuncheon
3:1
Aug 24, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Chuncheon
0:1
Apr 26, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Oct 26, 2024 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Daejeon Korail
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Yoon-Jin
2 Goals
Assists Leader Song Min-Jong
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Oliveira
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 28 / 100
Chuncheon 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Chuncheon conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Daejeon Korail scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Daejeon Korail stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Chuncheon
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon Korail

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
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Chuncheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)