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Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Hwang Joon-Seok
49' Event
Lee In-Kyu
79' Event
Park Chan-Bin

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Daejeon Korail and Mokpo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Daejeon Korail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Daejeon Korail
15%
Draws
39%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Mokpo haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Daejeon Korail taking it.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 20%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Mokpo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.43 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Daejeon Korail
3:2
Sep 20, 2024 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Mokpo
0:1
May 26, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Daejeon Korail
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Joon-Seok
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee In-Kyu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mokpo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 58 / 100
Mokpo 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Korail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Daejeon Korail's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mokpo conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Daejeon Korail stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Mokpo
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon Korail

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
25 Jul
Pocheon
1 : 1
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Mokpo

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 22 8 8 6 32:29 32
6 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
7 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 22 6 8 8 24:27 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)