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Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen Prediction & H2H Stats

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Baek K.
64' Event
Kim J.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Daejeon Korail and Ulsan Citizen finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Daejeon Korail
15%
Draws
42%
Ulsan Citizen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Daejeon Korail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen haven't matched Daejeon Korail's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Daejeon Korail Clean Sheet 20%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Korail Ulsan Citizen
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2026 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
0:1
May 1, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:2
Mar 1, 2025 K3 League
Daejeon Korail vs Ulsan Citizen
3:0
Sep 28, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Daejeon Korail
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Daejeon Korail Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon Korail 32 / 100
Ulsan Citizen 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Korail Ulsan Citizen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Daejeon Korail scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Ulsan Citizen conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Daejeon Korail went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon Korail VS Ulsan Citizen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon Korail

(Home)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
Page 1 of 6

Ulsan Citizen

(Away)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)