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Daejeon vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Daejeon World Cup Stadium, Daejeon
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
05:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Daejeon host Gwangju FC in the K League 1. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Gwangju FC have shipped 2.1 goals a game lately, while Daejeon have conceded 1.24 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Daejeon slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 2, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Daejeon. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Daejeon
35%
Draws
14%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gwangju FC haven't matched Daejeon's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Daejeon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 19%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Daejeon Gwangju FC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 2
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.62 0.69
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gwangju FC
2:0
May 2, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
0:5
Aug 17, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:0
Jun 22, 2025 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Daejeon
2:2
Mar 29, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Gwangju FC
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Daejeon 76 / 100
Gwangju FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Daejeon Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Daejeon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Daejeon remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Daejeon scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Daejeon VS Gwangju FC
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Daejeon

(Home)
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1
Daejeon
15 Sept
Daejeon
1 : 0
Kyoto
12 Sept
Daejeon
2 : 2
Pohang
09 Sept
Daejeon
3 : 2
Anyang
05 Sept
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 5
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

Gwangju FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Jeonbuk
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
13 Sept
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Anyang
09 Sept
Gwangju FC
0 : 1
Jeju SK
06 Sept
Gimcheon Sangmu
2 : 2
Gwangju FC
30 Aug
Gwangju FC
2 : 5
Seoul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 30 19 5 6 56:25 62
2 Ulsan Hyundai 30 14 5 11 45:40 47
3 Jeju SK 30 12 10 8 35:29 46
4 Jeonbuk 30 11 11 8 38:28 44
5 Gangwon 30 10 13 7 36:28 43
6 Daejeon 30 10 10 10 46:37 40
7 Pohang 30 11 7 12 28:34 40
8 Incheon 30 10 9 11 36:33 39
9 Anyang 30 9 11 10 38:47 38
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 30 5 18 7 30:36 33
11 Bucheon FC 1995 30 7 11 12 31:40 32
12 Gwangju FC 30 1 12 17 21:63 15
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)