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Dagenham & Red. vs Dorking Wanderers

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Victoria Road
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Oteh A.

AI Match Summary

The National League South 2025/2026 game between Dagenham & Red. and Dorking Wanderers finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dagenham & Red..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Dagenham & Red.
22%
Draws
60%
Dorking Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Dorking Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dagenham & Red. haven't matched Dorking Wanderers's recent run of results.
  • Dorking Wanderers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 15%
Dorking Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Dorking Wanderers
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 12 19
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Dorking Wanderers
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 National League South
Dorking Wanderers vs Dagenham & Red.
0:0
Jan 23, 2024 National League
Dagenham & Red. vs Dorking Wanderers
2:1
Nov 4, 2023 National League
Dorking Wanderers vs Dagenham & Red.
1:3
Apr 1, 2023 National League
Dagenham & Red. vs Dorking Wanderers
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Top Goalscorer Oteh A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Dorking Wanderers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 19 / 100
Dorking Wanderers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Dorking Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dorking Wanderers conceded in 81% of 36 recent games.

Dagenham & Red. scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Dagenham & Red. remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Dorking Wanderers
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Worthing FC462591299:5284
2Hornchurch4623121181:6481
3Torquay462481487:6280
4Dorking Wanderers4623101378:6179
5Hemel Hempstead4623101355:4879
6Weston-super-Mare462391461:4878
7Maidenhead4622111366:4177
8Maidstone4622111372:5077
9Ebbsfleet4622111373:5477
10Chelmsford4621101573:6273
11Chesham462191668:5572
12AFC Totton462062060:7966
13Dagenham & Red.4617131661:6264
14Tonbridge4616121866:6560
15Horsham FC4615141753:5459
16Slough Town461592269:8754
17Salisbury4614112150:6553
18Hampton & Richmond4614112156:7253
19Farnborough4614112172:9253
20Dover Ath.4613112260:7550
21Bath City4610132350:7743
22Chippenham Town461192653:8042
23Enfield Town469132455:8240
24Eastbourne Borough46992859:9036