Sport Picks

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Dagenham & Red. vs Torquay

England England

National League South 2025/2026 Victoria Road, London
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
Marsh G.

AI Match Summary

Dagenham & Red. in this National League South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagenham & Red..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Dagenham & Red.
20%
Draws
24%
Torquay
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dagenham & Red.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Dagenham & Red. have won more games recently than Torquay.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Dagenham & Red. taking it.
  • Regular National League South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Dagenham & Red. Clean Sheet 20%
Torquay Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagenham & Red. Torquay
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 12
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Torquay
2:0
Mar 21, 2026 National League South
Dagenham & Red. vs Torquay
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 National League South
Torquay vs Dagenham & Red.
0:0
Mar 25, 2023 National League
Torquay vs Dagenham & Red.
1:2
Dec 3, 2022 National League
Dagenham & Red. vs Torquay
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagenham & Red. Compare

Top Goalscorer Marsh G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Torquay Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagenham & Red. 76 / 100
Torquay 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagenham & Red. Torquay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagenham & Red. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Torquay's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Dagenham & Red. found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Solid form: Dagenham & Red. remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Dagenham & Red. VS Torquay
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagenham & Red.

(Home)
31 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
1 : 0
Slough Town
29 Aug
Truro
3 : 0
Dagenham & Red.
22 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Torquay
18 Aug
Walton & Hersham
0 : 2
Dagenham & Red.
14 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 1
Farnham
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Torquay

(Away)
31 Aug
Farnham
2 : 0
Torquay
29 Aug
Torquay
1 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
22 Aug
Dagenham & Red.
2 : 0
Torquay
18 Aug
Torquay
0 : 0
Weston-super-Mare
15 Aug
Tonbridge
1 : 2
Torquay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Worthing FC 46 25 9 12 99:52 84
2 Hornchurch 46 23 12 11 81:64 81
3 Torquay 46 24 8 14 87:62 80
4 Dorking Wanderers 46 23 10 13 78:61 79
5 Hemel Hempstead 46 23 10 13 55:48 79
6 Weston-super-Mare 46 23 9 14 61:48 78
7 Maidenhead 46 22 11 13 66:41 77
8 Maidstone 46 22 11 13 72:50 77
9 Ebbsfleet 46 22 11 13 73:54 77
10 Chelmsford 46 21 10 15 73:62 73
11 Chesham 46 21 9 16 68:55 72
12 AFC Totton 46 20 6 20 60:79 66
13 Dagenham & Red. 46 17 13 16 61:62 64
14 Tonbridge 46 16 12 18 66:65 60
15 Horsham FC 46 15 14 17 53:54 59
16 Slough Town 46 15 9 22 69:87 54
17 Salisbury 46 14 11 21 50:65 53
18 Hampton & Richmond 46 14 11 21 56:72 53
19 Farnborough 46 14 11 21 72:92 53
20 Dover Ath. 46 13 11 22 60:75 50
21 Bath City 46 10 13 23 50:77 43
22 Chippenham Town 46 11 9 26 53:80 42
23 Enfield Town 46 9 13 24 55:82 40
24 Eastbourne Borough 46 9 9 28 59:90 36
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)