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Dagon vs Ispe

Myanmar Myanmar

National League Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
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Match Events

36' Event
Htwe Yan Kyaw
44' Event
Swe Moe
45' Event
Lam Mang S.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Dagon and Ispe finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Dagon
15%
Draws
40%
Ispe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Dagon come out ahead of Ispe on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Dagon's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dagon Clean Sheet 20%
Ispe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Ispe
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 2 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
3:1
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
1:1
Nov 4, 2024 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
2:1
Jul 19, 2024 National League
Dagon vs Ispe
2:1
Nov 4, 2023 National League
Ispe vs Dagon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Htwe Yan Kyaw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Swe Moe
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Ispe Compare

Top Goalscorer Maung Win Pyae
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 76 / 100
Ispe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Ispe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagon found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Ispe conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Dagon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Ispe
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
24 Feb
Dagon
1 : 0
Rakhine United
19 Feb
Dagon
2 : 1
Yadanarbon
Page 1 of 6

Ispe

(Away)
16 Mar
Rakhine United
1 : 2
Ispe
11 Mar
Ispe
2 : 1
Dagon Port
04 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 1
Ispe
25 Feb
Ispe
1 : 6
Shan United
15 Feb
Yarmanya United
1 : 2
Ispe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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