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Dagon vs Kachin United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Soe T. P.

AI Match Summary

Dagon in this National League 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dagon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Dagon
30%
Draws
12%
Kachin United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Kachin United haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • Dagon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular National League 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Dagon Clean Sheet 20%
Kachin United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Kachin United
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 22 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.23 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 15, 2023 National League
Dagon vs Kachin United
1:0
Jul 3, 2023 National League
Kachin United vs Dagon
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Soe T. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Kachin United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 85 / 100
Kachin United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Kachin United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dagon found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (35 games).

Kachin United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Dagon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Kachin United has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 7

Kachin United

(Away)
21 May
Yangon Royals
0 : 0
Kachin United
16 May
Kachin United
0 : 7
Ayeyawady
04 May
Yangon United
7 : 0
Kachin United
29 Apr
Kachin United
1 : 2
Mahar United
20 May
Kachin United
1 : 1
Glory Goal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 19 3 0 62:19 60
2 Yangon United 22 16 3 3 57:13 51
3 Hantharwady United 22 12 1 9 35:25 37
4 Ispe 22 9 5 8 38:31 32
5 Dagon 22 9 4 9 33:31 31
6 Myawady 22 9 4 9 34:38 31
7 Mahar United 22 8 6 8 28:37 30
8 Rakhine United 22 7 6 9 32:38 27
9 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 35:44 26
10 Yadanarbon 22 5 8 9 25:32 23
11 Chinland 22 3 3 16 22:70 12
12 Kachin United 22 2 4 16 17:40 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2024/2025 (Qualification)