Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dagon vs Mahar United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Win A. H.
35' Event
Htwe Yan Kyaw
44' Event
Htet Swan

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this National League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Dagon
15%
Draws
32%
Mahar United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dagon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Mahar United haven't matched Dagon's recent run of results.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Dagon taking it.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dagon Clean Sheet 18%
Mahar United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Mahar United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.17 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.37 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
1:0
Oct 27, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
2:2
Feb 10, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Mahar United
0:1
Aug 12, 2024 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon
0:3
Aug 3, 2023 National League
Mahar United vs Dagon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Top Goalscorer Htwe Yan Kyaw
1 Goals
Assists Leader Htet Swan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Mahar United Compare

Top Goalscorer Win A. H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ko A. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 85 / 100
Mahar United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Mahar United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dagon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Mahar United has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Dagon has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Mahar United
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Mahar United

(Away)
07 Sept
Ispe
2 : 4
Mahar United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
17 Mar
Mahar United
2 : 1
Ayeyawady
12 Mar
Shan United
2 : 1
Mahar United
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)