Sport Picks

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Dagon vs Yangon United

Myanmar Myanmar

National League 2025/2026 Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Saito A.

AI Match Summary

The National League 2025/2026 game between Dagon and Yangon United finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Yangon United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Dagon
15%
Draws
51%
Yangon United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yangon United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Yangon United come out ahead of Dagon on wins alone.
  • Model gives Yangon United a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Dagon Clean Sheet 10%
Yangon United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dagon Yangon United
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 16 27
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 2
Goals Scored 2.17 3
Goals Conceded 1.37 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Yangon United
0:1
Feb 23, 2025 National League
Dagon vs Yangon United
0:3
Sep 14, 2024 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 National League
Yangon United vs Dagon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dagon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Yangon United Compare

Top Goalscorer Saito A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dagon 10 / 100
Yangon United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dagon Yangon United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Yangon United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dagon scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Dagon remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Yangon United conceded in 34% of 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Dagon VS Yangon United
1.63 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Dagon

(Home)
06 Sept
Ayeyawady
0 : 5
Dagon
29 Aug
Dagon
2 : 0
Hantharwady United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
09 Mar
Thitsar Arman
2 : 2
Dagon
03 Mar
Dagon
1 : 0
Mahar United
Page 1 of 6

Yangon United

(Away)
08 Sept
Yangon United
2 : 1
Ezra
04 Sept
Chinland
1 : 5
Yangon United
30 Aug
Yangon United
2 : 0
Mahar United
18 Mar
Yangon United
4 : 0
Dagon
10 Mar
Yadanarbon
2 : 3
Yangon United
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shan United 22 18 4 0 66:10 58
2 Yangon United 22 18 3 1 70:7 57
3 Dagon 22 11 6 5 39:30 39
4 Ispe 22 9 4 9 35:46 31
5 Hantharwady United 22 7 7 8 32:34 28
6 Mahar United 22 7 7 8 39:44 28
7 Yadanarbon 22 7 5 10 38:38 26
8 Ayeyawady 22 7 5 10 25:26 26
9 Thitsar Arman 22 5 9 8 36:38 24
10 Dagon Port 22 5 7 10 44:62 22
11 Rakhine United 22 5 4 13 28:54 19
12 Yarmanya United 22 1 3 18 17:80 6
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