Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan

China China

FA Cup Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium, Dalian
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Fu Yuncheng In: Yu Yanhao
Out: Fu Yuncheng
27'
Cao Yongjing
45' Event
Jia Feifan

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Dalian Kewei
35%
Draws
34%
Beijing Guoan
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Beijing Guoan lately — more wins on the board than Dalian Kewei.
  • Model gives Beijing Guoan a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Beijing Guoan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Beijing Guoan, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Dalian Kewei Clean Sheet 11%
Beijing Guoan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dalian Kewei Beijing Guoan
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 11 10
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 1.04 1.97
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2026 FA Cup
Dalian Kewei vs Beijing Guoan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalian Kewei Compare

Top Goalscorer Ge Yuxiang
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Beijing Guoan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jia Feifan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zhang Yuning
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalian Kewei 22 / 100
Beijing Guoan 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dalian Kewei Beijing Guoan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beijing Guoan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalian Kewei found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Beijing Guoan let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Dalian Kewei remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dalian Kewei VS Beijing Guoan
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dalian Kewei

(Home)
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Taian Tiankuang
09 Aug
Dalian Kewei
2 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Beijing Guoan

(Away)
15 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Pohang
05 Sept
Shanghai Port
0 : 0
Beijing Guoan
01 Sept
Beijing Guoan
3 : 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
28 Aug
Dalian Yingbo
1 : 1
Beijing Guoan
22 Aug
Beijing Guoan
3 : 3
Yunnan Yukun
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Guangdong Shudihong 1
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 4
TBD -
Meizhou Hakka -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Xiamen Chengyi 0
Shenzhen 2028 1
TBD -
Shaanxi Union -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Wenzhou Professional 0
TBD -
Nantong Zhiyun -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 1
Xiamen Feilu 0
TBD -
Guangdong GZ-Power -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Chongqing Handa 0
Qingdao Red Lions 1
TBD -
Nanjing City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 1
Nantong Haimen 0
TBD -
Guangxi Hengchen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Guangdong Mingtu 0
TBD -
Yanbian Longding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 2
Guizhou Guiyang 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Juniors -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 2
Ganzhou Ruishi 0
TBD -
Suzhou Dongwu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Changchun Xidu 2
TBD -
Dingnan Ganlian -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 2
Beijing Technology 1
TBD -
Ningbo Professional -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Qingdao Fuli 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
TBD -
Changchun Yatai -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Quanzhou Qinggong 0
Jiangxi Lushan 7
TBD -
Dalian Kun City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Ningxia Pingluo 0
Hangzhou Linping 2
TBD -
Foshan Nanshi -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 2
Taian Tiankuang 1
TBD -
Shijiazhuang Gongfu -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Yunnan Cuanhe 0
Guangzhou Dandelion 1
TBD -
Wuxi Wugou -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/32-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Meizhou Hakka 1
TBD -
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger -
Shenzhen 2028 0
Shaanxi Union 2
TBD -
Zhejiang Professional -
Dalian Kewei 2
Nantong Zhiyun 1
TBD -
Liaoning Tieren -
Wuhan Lianzhen 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
TBD -
Beijing Guoan -
Qingdao Red Lions 1
Nanjing City 0
TBD -
Wuhan Three Towns -
Hubei Istar 0
Guangxi Hengchen 4
TBD -
Shandong Taishan -
Shanghai Second 1
Yanbian Longding 0
TBD -
Shanghai Port -
Beijing Pengrui 0
Shenzhen Juniors 1
TBD -
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng -
Yulin Miners 0
Suzhou Dongwu 2
TBD -
Yunnan Yukun -
Shanghai Zetian 4
Dingnan Ganlian 2
TBD -
Chengdu Rongcheng -
Liaocheng Legend 1
Ningbo Professional 4
TBD -
Chongqing Tonglianglong -
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 2
Changchun Yatai 1
TBD -
Qingdao West Coast -
Jiangxi Lushan 2
Dalian Kun City 0
TBD -
Henan Songshan Longmen -
Hangzhou Linping 1
Foshan Nanshi 0
TBD -
Dalian Yingbo -
Guizhou Xufengtang 0
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1
TBD -
Shanghai Shenhua -
Guangzhou Dandelion 0
Wuxi Wugou 2
TBD -
Qingdao Hainiu -
1/16-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 1
Shaanxi Union 2
Zhejiang Professional 1
Dalian Kewei 1
Liaoning Tieren 0
Guangdong GZ-Power 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Qingdao Red Lions 0
Wuhan Three Towns 1
Guangxi Hengchen 0
Shandong Taishan 5
Shanghai Second 1
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Juniors 1
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 3
Suzhou Dongwu 2
Yunnan Yukun 4
Shanghai Zetian 0
Chengdu Rongcheng 4
Ningbo Professional 0
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 1
Qingdao West Coast 2
Jiangxi Lushan 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 2
Hangzhou Linping 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shijiazhuang Gongfu 0
Shanghai Shenhua 2
Wuxi Wugou 2
Qingdao Hainiu 3
1/8-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2
Shaanxi Union 0
Dalian Kewei 1
Beijing Guoan 2
Wuhan Three Towns 2
Shandong Taishan 3
Shanghai Port 2
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng 1
Yunnan Yukun 4
Chengdu Rongcheng 3
Chongqing Tonglianglong 2
Qingdao West Coast 0
Henan Songshan Longmen 1
Dalian Yingbo 2
Shanghai Shenhua 4
Qingdao Hainiu 1
Quarter-finals
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1
Beijing Guoan 3
Shandong Taishan 0
Shanghai Port 3
Yunnan Yukun 1
Chongqing Tonglianglong 0
Dalian Yingbo 1
Shanghai Shenhua 0
Semi-finals
Beijing Guoan -
Shanghai Port -
Yunnan Yukun -
Dalian Yingbo -
Final
TBD -
TBD -