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Dalian Kewei vs Changchun Xidu Prediction & H2H Stats

China China

League Two Dalian Football Youth Training Base Stadium, Dalian
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Match Events

15' Event
Zhang Dachi
Assist: Ge Yuxiang
51' Event
Zhang Dachi
(Penalty)
53'
Wang H.

AI Match Summary

Dalian Kewei in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dalian Kewei.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Dalian Kewei
35%
Draws
32%
Changchun Xidu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dalian Kewei have won more games recently than Changchun Xidu.
  • Win probability leans Dalian Kewei's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Dalian Kewei Clean Sheet 68%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dalian Kewei Changchun Xidu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 4
Draws 11 13
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.04 0.72
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Kewei
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 League Two
Dalian Kewei vs Changchun Xidu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalian Kewei Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhang Dachi
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Changchun Xidu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalian Kewei 51 / 100
Changchun Xidu 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dalian Kewei Changchun Xidu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dalian Kewei's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Changchun Xidu conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Dalian Kewei remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Dalian Kewei VS Changchun Xidu
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dalian Kewei

(Home)
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Taian Tiankuang
09 Aug
Dalian Kewei
2 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Xidu

(Away)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Beijing Technology
2 : 2
Changchun Xidu
09 Aug
Changchun Xidu
1 : 2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)