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Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Dalian Sports Center Stadium, Dalian
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Match Events

4' Event
Liu Yun

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Dalian Kun City
35%
Draws
40%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Changchun Yatai lately — more wins on the board than Dalian Kun City.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Dalian Kun City Clean Sheet 16%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dalian Kun City Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Dalian Kun City
2:1
May 21, 2025 FA Cup
Dalian Kun City vs Changchun Yatai
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dalian Kun City Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Yun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Changchun Yatai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dalian Kun City 31 / 100
Changchun Yatai 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dalian Kun City Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Dalian Kun City scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Dalian Kun City has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dalian Kun City VS Changchun Yatai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dalian Kun City

(Home)
06 Oct
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
1 : 0
Dalian Kun City
27 Sept
Shaanxi Union
3 : 0
Dalian Kun City
18 Sept
Dalian Kun City
1 : 0
Ningbo Professional
12 Sept
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 1
Dalian Kun City
05 Sept
Foshan Nanshi
0 : 0
Dalian Kun City
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0
Ningbo Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)