Sport Picks

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Damaiense W vs Ouriense W

Portugal Portugal

Liga BPI Women 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ferreira M.
Assist: Fortes M.
23' Event
Pastilha Santos J.
Assist: Eliadis T.
54'
Ferreira M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 game between Damaiense W and Ouriense W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damaiense W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Damaiense W
20%
Draws
16%
Ouriense W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Damaiense W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ouriense W haven't matched Damaiense W's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Damaiense W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Damaiense W Clean Sheet 14%
Ouriense W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damaiense W Ouriense W
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 20
Goals Scored 1.05 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.19 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2024 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
2:1
Jan 21, 2024 Taça de Portugal Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
4:1
Nov 25, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Damaiense W
0:0
May 14, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Damaiense W vs Ouriense W
1:0
Jan 8, 2023 Liga BPI Women
Ouriense W vs Damaiense W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damaiense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Assucena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Ouriense W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pastilha Santos J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damaiense W 66 / 100
Ouriense W 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damaiense W Ouriense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damaiense W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ouriense W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Ouriense W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Damaiense W found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (37 games).

Scoring Trends

Damaiense W VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Damaiense W

(Home)
10 May
Torreense W
3 : 1
Damaiense W
03 May
Damaiense W
1 : 2
Maritimo W
25 Apr
Valadares Gaia W
1 : 3
Damaiense W
05 Apr
Rio Ave W
2 : 0
Damaiense W
28 Mar
Damaiense W
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes W
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Ouriense W

(Away)
11 May
Ouriense W
0 : 2
Vilaverdense W
05 May
Ouriense W
0 : 3
Sporting W
28 Apr
Ouriense W
2 : 2
Braga W
13 Apr
Damaiense W
2 : 1
Ouriense W
24 Mar
Ouriense W
2 : 3
Torreense W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SL Benfica W 22 18 2 2 66:12 56
2 Sporting W 22 17 3 2 68:10 54
3 Racing Power W 22 13 4 5 34:13 43
4 Damaiense W 22 11 4 7 31:33 37
5 Braga W 22 11 3 8 47:30 36
6 Valadares Gaia W 22 11 3 8 24:19 36
7 Maritimo W 22 10 1 11 33:41 31
8 Torreense W 22 8 6 8 33:39 30
9 Albergaria/Durit W 22 5 2 15 18:51 17
10 Famalicao W 22 5 1 16 18:41 16
11 Vilaverdense W 22 3 3 16 15:52 12
12 Ouriense W 22 2 4 16 15:61 10
Promotion - Champions League Women 2024/2025 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga BPI Women 2023/2024 (Relegation - Play Offs)