Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Jaish

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al-Ahli play Al Jaish in the Premier League. Damascus Al-Ahli are favorites here. Recently, Damascus Al-Ahli averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Al Jaish averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Damascus Al-Ahli won 0, Al Jaish won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Damascus Al-Ahli and 1.00 for Al Jaish. This points to a Damascus Al-Ahli double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Damascus Al-Ahli
25%
Draws
15%
Al Jaish
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Damascus Al-Ahli picked up more points recently compared to Al Jaish.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
Over 3.5 Goals 24%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 23%
Al Jaish Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 57%
Second Half Goal 60%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Al Jaish
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.23 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.47 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Jaish
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
Apr 2, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Al Jaish
1:4
Sep 10, 2022 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:1
Mar 6, 2019 Premier League
Al Jaish vs Damascus Al-Ahli
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Al Jaish Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Ashqar J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 59 / 100
Al Jaish 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Al Jaish

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +17.6%
2.94
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Damascus Al-Ahli attacking → ← attacking Al Jaish

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Al Jaish let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Damascus Al-Ahli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Al Jaish lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 41
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117