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Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Syria Syria

Premier League
Fri, Oct 16, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al Ahli host Al Shorta in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al Shorta have shipped 1.44 goals a game lately, while Damascus Al Ahli have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.31. Head-to-head, Damascus Al Ahli have won 2 to Al Shorta's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 19, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.19, favoring Damascus Al Ahli. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Damascus Al Ahli
20%
Draws
24%
Al Shorta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Damascus Al Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Damascus Al Ahli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Damascus Al Ahli are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Damascus Al Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Al Shorta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al Ahli Al Shorta
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.31 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al Ahli
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
2:0
Feb 8, 2019 Premier League
Al Shorta vs Damascus Al Ahli
2:1
Sep 28, 2018 Premier League
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
0:0
Jul 13, 2018 Syria Cup
Damascus Al Ahli vs Al Shorta
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al Ahli 85 / 100
Al Shorta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al Ahli Al Shorta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al Ahli scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Al Shorta conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Damascus Al Ahli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al Ahli VS Al Shorta
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al Ahli

(Home)
09 Oct
Damascus Al Ahli
2 : 0
Foutoua
04 Jul
Damascus Al Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al Ahli
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Al Shorta

(Away)
10 Oct
Al Shorta
0 : 0
Al Taliya
04 Jul
Al Shorta
0 : 1
Horriya
01 Jul
Umayya
1 : 2
Al Shorta
24 Jun
Al Shorta
1 : 1
Al Wahda
19 Jun
Al Karamah
5 : 2
Al Shorta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ittihad Aleppo 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Damascus Al Ahli 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Al Nawaeir 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Qamishli 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
5 Hottin 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Homs Al Fidaa 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Al Karamah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Al Taliya 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
9 Tishreen 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Al Shorta 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Al Jaish 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
12 Al Wahda 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
13 Horriya 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
14 Foutoua 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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