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Damascus Al-Ahli vs Hottin

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Hamza F.

AI Match Summary

Hottin in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hottin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Damascus Al-Ahli
6%
Draws
4%
Hottin
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hottin lately — more wins on the board than Damascus Al-Ahli.
  • Model gives Damascus Al-Ahli a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Hottin Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Hottin
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Hottin vs Damascus Al-Ahli
2:3
Mar 14, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Hottin
0:1
May 8, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Hottin
0:3
Jan 6, 2023 Premier League
Hottin vs Damascus Al-Ahli
3:3
Mar 1, 2019 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Hottin
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Hottin Compare

Top Goalscorer Hamza F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 85 / 100
Hottin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Hottin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Damascus Al-Ahli scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Hottin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Damascus Al-Ahli has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al-Ahli VS Hottin
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al-Ahli

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Hottin

(Away)
03 Jul
Al Taliya
1 : 0
Hottin
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Al-Ittihad Aleppo
4 : 0
Hottin
19 Jun
Hottin
1 : 0
Khan Shaykhun
14 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
2 : 0
Hottin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Ittihad Aleppo30227183:2573
2Homs Al Fidaa30226255:1272
3Al Wahda30195653:2462
4Al Karamah30177655:3058
5Al Taliya301211732:2447
6Hottin301361133:3745
7Tishreen301111842:3444
8Al Jaish301011923:3041
9Damascus Al-Ahli301161337:4439
10Horriya301051530:3435
11Al Shorta30891329:4733
12Foutoua30931836:5330
13Umayya30591627:4424
14Khan Shaykhun30651926:5323
15Jableh30642027:6022
16Al-Shouleh30452114:5117
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