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Damascus Al-Ahli vs Tishreen

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Antwi R.
58' Event
Sardar M.

AI Match Summary

Damascus Al-Ahli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Damascus Al-Ahli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Damascus Al-Ahli
15%
Draws
31%
Tishreen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Damascus Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Tishreen at 1.4 per game, Damascus Al-Ahli at 1.23.
  • Win probability leans Damascus Al-Ahli's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Damascus Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 20%
Tishreen Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damascus Al-Ahli Tishreen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.23 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Tishreen
2:0
Jan 15, 2026 Premier League
Tishreen vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:1
Jul 5, 2023 Syria Cup
Tishreen vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
May 19, 2023 Premier League
Tishreen vs Damascus Al-Ahli
1:0
Jan 20, 2023 Premier League
Damascus Al-Ahli vs Tishreen
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damascus Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sardar M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Tishreen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damascus Al-Ahli 76 / 100
Tishreen 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damascus Al-Ahli Tishreen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Damascus Al-Ahli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Damascus Al-Ahli scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Tishreen let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Damascus Al-Ahli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Damascus Al-Ahli VS Tishreen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damascus Al-Ahli

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Hottin
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
24 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al Jaish
19 Jun
Horriya
2 : 3
Damascus Al-Ahli
13 Jun
Damascus Al-Ahli
4 : 1
Jableh
Page 1 of 6

Tishreen

(Away)
03 Jul
Tishreen
4 : 2
Jableh
27 Jun
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Tishreen
24 Jun
Tishreen
1 : 1
Horriya
19 Jun
Al-Shouleh
1 : 0
Tishreen
13 Jun
Tishreen
3 : 1
Umayya
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
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