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Damash Gilan vs Naft Gachsaran

Iran Iran

Azadegan League 2025/2026
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Match Events

56' Event
Monsef A. M.

AI Match Summary

Naft Gachsaran in this Azadegan League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Naft Gachsaran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Damash Gilan
35%
Draws
32%
Naft Gachsaran
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Naft Gachsaran have won more games recently than Damash Gilan.
  • Win probability leans Naft Gachsaran's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Azadegan League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 16%
Naft Gachsaran Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Damash Gilan Naft Gachsaran
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 7
Draws 10 12
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.43 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Naft Gachsaran
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Damash Gilan
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1
Oct 16, 2024 Azadegan League
Naft Gachsaran vs Damash Gilan
1:1
May 30, 2024 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Naft Gachsaran
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Damash Gilan Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Naft Gachsaran Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsef A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Damash Gilan 28 / 100
Naft Gachsaran 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Damash Gilan Naft Gachsaran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Naft Gachsaran Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Naft Gachsaran's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Damash Gilan remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Damash Gilan's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Damash Gilan VS Naft Gachsaran
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Damash Gilan

(Home)
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0
Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0
Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1
Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1
Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6

Naft Gachsaran

(Away)
28 Sept
Naft Bandar Abbas
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
22 Sept
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 1
Ario Eslamshahr
16 Sept
Besat Kermanshah
0 : 0
Naft Gachsaran
16 Jul
Naft Gachsaran
0 : 2
Mes Shahr Babak
11 Jul
Havadar SC
2 : 2
Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazandaran 34 20 9 5 48:17 69
2 Mes Shahr Babak 34 19 11 4 41:14 68
3 Sanat Naft 34 16 12 6 37:21 60
4 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 16 12 6 44:22 60
5 Saipa 34 16 11 7 30:18 59
6 Havadar SC 34 11 17 6 32:23 50
7 Naft Bandar Abbas 34 10 17 7 26:19 47
8 Fard 34 10 16 8 24:15 46
9 Mes Kerman 34 10 15 9 23:18 45
10 Ario Eslamshahr 34 9 16 9 19:18 43
11 Besat Kermanshah 34 9 11 14 25:32 38
12 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 9 10 15 17:34 37
13 Niroye Zamini 34 8 12 14 28:31 36
14 Shenavarsazi Qeshm 34 8 11 15 23:36 35
15 Naft Gachsaran 34 7 14 13 25:41 35
16 Shahrdari Noshahr 34 5 15 14 18:29 30
17 Navad Urmia 34 4 12 18 16:48 24
18 Damash Gilan 34 2 13 19 16:56 19
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