Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Ramezani A.
44'
44'
Parvaresh H.
85'
85'
Enbesati A.
AI Match Summary
The Azadegan League 2025/2026 game between Damash Gilan and Navad Urmia finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Damash Gilan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
30%
0%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Damash Gilan
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
70%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Navad Urmia come out ahead of Damash Gilan on wins alone.
- Model gives Damash Gilan a 70% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Damash Gilan Clean Sheet 68%
Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Damash Gilan | Navad Urmia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2026 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Navad Urmia
2:1
Sep 18, 2025 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Damash Gilan
1:1
Feb 15, 2020 Azadegan League
Navad Urmia vs Damash Gilan
2:0
Oct 5, 2019 Azadegan League
Damash Gilan vs Navad Urmia
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Damash Gilan Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramezani A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Enbesati A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Navad Urmia Compare
Top Goalscorer Parvaresh H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Damash Gilan 68 / 100
Navad Urmia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Damash Gilan Navad Urmia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Damash Gilan Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Navad Urmia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Navad Urmia let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Recent resilience: Damash Gilan stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Damash Gilan VS Navad Urmia
0.5 Goals Scored 0.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Damash Gilan
(Home) 16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0 Fard
11 Jul
Pars Janoobi Jam
4 : 0 Damash Gilan
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
27 Jun
Havadar SC
4 : 1 Damash Gilan
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Damash Gilan
0 : 0 Fard
03 Jul
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Ario Eslamshahr
21 Jun
Damash Gilan
1 : 1 Kara Gostar Shabestar
10 Jun
Damash Gilan
0 : 7 Mes Shahr Babak
27 May
Damash Gilan
0 : 1 Naft Gachsaran
Page 1 of 3
Navad Urmia
(Away) 16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
11 Jul
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Saipa
03 Jul
Navad Urmia
1 : 4 Sanat Naft
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 Jun
Navad Urmia
0 : 2 Naft Bandar Abbas
Page 1 of 6
16 Jul
Mes Kerman
3 : 0 Navad Urmia
27 Jun
Pars Janoobi Jam
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
16 Jun
Shahrdari Noshahr
0 : 0 Navad Urmia
02 Jun
Havadar SC
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
21 May
Mazandaran
2 : 0 Navad Urmia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mazandaran | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 48:17 | 69 |
| 2 | Mes Shahr Babak | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 41:14 | 68 |
| 3 | Sanat Naft | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 37:21 | 60 |
| 4 | Pars Janoobi Jam | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 44:22 | 60 |
| 5 | Saipa | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 30:18 | 59 |
| 6 | Havadar SC | 34 | 11 | 17 | 6 | 32:23 | 50 |
| 7 | Naft Bandar Abbas | 34 | 10 | 17 | 7 | 26:19 | 47 |
| 8 | Fard | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 24:15 | 46 |
| 9 | Mes Kerman | 34 | 10 | 15 | 9 | 23:18 | 45 |
| 10 | Ario Eslamshahr | 34 | 9 | 16 | 9 | 19:18 | 43 |
| 11 | Besat Kermanshah | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 12 | Kara Gostar Shabestar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 17:34 | 37 |
| 13 | Niroye Zamini | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 28:31 | 36 |
| 14 | Shenavarsazi Qeshm | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 15 | Naft Gachsaran | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 25:41 | 35 |
| 16 | Shahrdari Noshahr | 34 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 18:29 | 30 |
| 17 | Navad Urmia | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 16:48 | 24 |
| 18 | Damash Gilan | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 16:56 | 19 |
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