Sport Picks
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
Australia
NPL Victoria George Andrews Reserve, Melbourne 
Match Events
3'
3'
Gioffre F.
24'
24'
Lynn A.
88'
88'
Petratos Y.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Victoria game between Dandenong Thunder and Bentleigh Greens finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dandenong Thunder.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
30%
34%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dandenong Thunder
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bentleigh Greens come out ahead of Dandenong Thunder on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Dandenong Thunder taking it.
- Regular NPL Victoria form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Dandenong Thunder Clean Sheet 10%
Bentleigh Greens Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dandenong Thunder | Bentleigh Greens |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.5 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 3.50 | 2.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 11, 2026 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
2:1
Mar 27, 2026 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder
2:1
Jun 17, 2023 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
1:1
Mar 17, 2023 NPL Victoria
Bentleigh Greens vs Dandenong Thunder
0:3
Jul 16, 2022 NPL Victoria
Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dandenong Thunder Compare
Top Goalscorer Gioffre F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lynn A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Bentleigh Greens Compare
Top Goalscorer Petratos Y.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dandenong Thunder 34 / 100
Bentleigh Greens 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dandenong Thunder Bentleigh Greens
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dandenong Thunder scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Bentleigh Greens has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Bentleigh Greens registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Dandenong Thunder VS Bentleigh Greens
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Dandenong Thunder
(Home) 17 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 1 Dandenong Thunder
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
05 Jul
South Melbourne
1 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
27 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
1 : 3 Hume City
20 Jun
Avondale FC
11 : 0 Dandenong Thunder
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11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
27 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
1 : 3 Hume City
06 Jun
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 3 George Cross
16 May
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 2 St Albans
02 May
Dandenong Thunder
0 : 1 Preston Lions
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Bentleigh Greens
(Away) 17 Jul
Bentleigh Greens
2 : 1 Dandenong City SC
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
26 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
0 : 1 Altona Magic
19 Jun
Bentleigh Greens
1 : 5 South Melbourne
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Dandenong Thunder
2 : 1 Bentleigh Greens
03 Jul
Green Gully
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
30 May
Avondale FC
4 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
24 Apr
Oakleigh Cannons
4 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
11 Apr
Dandenong City SC
3 : 0 Bentleigh Greens
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 44:18 | 47 |
| 2 | Hume City | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 40:25 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale FC | 21 | 11 | 2 | 8 | 54:28 | 35 |
| 4 | Preston Lions | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 30:16 | 33 |
| 5 | Heidelberg Utd | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 33:26 | 33 |
| 6 | South Melbourne | 21 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 31:32 | 32 |
| 7 | Melbourne City U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 37:23 | 30 |
| 8 | George Cross | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 28:28 | 30 |
| 9 | St Albans | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 24:37 | 24 |
| 10 | Altona Magic | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 24:36 | 23 |
| 11 | Dandenong City SC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | 22 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 20:45 | 19 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 23:46 | 15 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 17:43 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Victoria (Play Offs)