Sport Picks
Match Events
25'
25'
Yun-Jae L.
30'
30'
Kim D.
Assist: Han Jun-young
31'
31'
Yun-Jae L.
Assist: Park H.
AI Match Summary
Dangjin Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dangjin Citizen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dangjin Citizen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Busan Kyotong have won more games recently than Dangjin Citizen.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Dangjin Citizen taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Dangjin Citizen Clean Sheet 11%
Busan Kyotong Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Dangjin Citizen | Busan Kyotong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.44 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
5:3
May 2, 2026 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
2:1
Mar 30, 2023 Korean Cup
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
0:2
Sep 18, 2022 K3 League
Busan Kyotong vs Dangjin Citizen
3:0
May 14, 2022 K3 League
Dangjin Citizen vs Busan Kyotong
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Dangjin Citizen Compare
Top Goalscorer Seo D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kim D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22
Busan Kyotong Compare
Top Goalscorer Yun-Jae L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Kong Da-Hwi
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Dangjin Citizen 83 / 100
Busan Kyotong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Dangjin Citizen Busan Kyotong
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dangjin Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dangjin Citizen scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Busan Kyotong has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Busan Kyotong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Dangjin Citizen VS Busan Kyotong
2.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Dangjin Citizen
(Home) 04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4 Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2 Yeoju Citizen
19 Aug
Jeonbuk
2 : 3 Dangjin Citizen
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Dangjin Citizen
2 : 3 Gyeongju KHNP
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4 Chuncheon
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2 Yeoju Citizen
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1 Mokpo
Page 1 of 3
Busan Kyotong
(Away) 04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1 Busan Kyotong
19 Sept
Busan Kyotong
1 : 0 Pocheon
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1 Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Mokpo
3 : 1 Busan Kyotong
13 Sept
Dangjin Citizen
5 : 3 Busan Kyotong
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1 Busan Kyotong
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1 Busan Kyotong
26 Jul
Yangpyeong
2 : 4 Busan Kyotong
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 37:20 | 55 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 38:19 | 46 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 33:18 | 41 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 40:29 | 37 |
| 5 | Gyeongju KHNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | 35 |
| 6 | Dangjin Citizen | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 46:39 | 31 |
| 7 | Chuncheon | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 30 |
| 8 | Changwon | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 26:28 | 29 |
| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:26 | 28 |
| 10 | Yeoju Citizen | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | 28 |
| 11 | Gangneung | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 21:32 | 27 |
| 12 | Mokpo | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 22:36 | 24 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 28:45 | 17 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 23 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 23:51 | 10 |
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)
