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Dangkor Senchey vs Phnom Penh Crown

Cambodia Cambodia

CPL 2025/2026 AIA Stadium KMH PARK, Phnom Penh
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Match Events

23'
Sub
Kang S. In: Un S.
Out: Kang S.
34' Event
Feher R.
(Penalty)
37'
Sub
Tellez M. In: Yem D.
Out: Tellez M.

AI Match Summary

The CPL 2025/2026 game between Dangkor Senchey and Phnom Penh Crown finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phnom Penh Crown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Dangkor Senchey
35%
Draws
38%
Phnom Penh Crown
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Phnom Penh Crown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Phnom Penh Crown come out ahead of Dangkor Senchey on wins alone.
  • 27% — that's where the model lands on Dangkor Senchey taking it.
  • Regular CPL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Dangkor Senchey Clean Sheet 15%
Phnom Penh Crown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dangkor Senchey Phnom Penh Crown
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 14
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Phnom Penh Crown vs Dangkor Senchey
0:2
Feb 25, 2026 Hun Sen Cup
Dangkor Senchey vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:2
Feb 1, 2026 CPL
Phnom Penh Crown vs Dangkor Senchey
1:0
Oct 19, 2025 CPL
Dangkor Senchey vs Phnom Penh Crown
2:4
Jul 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Phnom Penh Crown vs Dangkor Senchey
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dangkor Senchey Compare

Top Goalscorer Hav S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Phnom Penh Crown Compare

Top Goalscorer Sa T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ketting R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dangkor Senchey 66 / 100
Phnom Penh Crown 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dangkor Senchey Phnom Penh Crown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dangkor Senchey Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Dangkor Senchey's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Phnom Penh Crown let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Dangkor Senchey stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dangkor Senchey VS Phnom Penh Crown
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Dangkor Senchey

(Home)
20 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 1
Svay Rieng
12 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
6 : 0
Kirivong Sok Sen Chey
06 Sept
Dangkor Senchey
3 : 3
Boeung Ket
16 May
Dangkor Senchey
6 : 0
Tiffy Army
02 May
Dangkor Senchey
1 : 2
Visakha
Page 1 of 6

Phnom Penh Crown

(Away)
17 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 1
Kuching City FC
12 Sept
Angkor Tiger
2 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
05 Sept
Phnom Penh Crown
2 : 2
NagaWorld
17 May
Svay Rieng
1 : 2
Phnom Penh Crown
10 May
Phnom Penh Crown
3 : 0
NagaWorld
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svay Rieng 20 16 1 3 63:22 49
2 Phnom Penh Crown 20 14 4 2 43:23 46
3 Angkor Tiger 20 11 3 6 52:29 36
4 NagaWorld 20 10 5 5 33:20 35
5 Boeung Ket 20 9 5 6 26:17 32
6 Moi Kompong Dewa 20 8 7 5 28:25 31
7 Visakha 20 7 8 5 36:28 29
8 Tiffy Army 20 4 5 11 20:51 17
9 Kirivong Sok Sen Chey 20 4 2 14 22:44 14
10 Life FC 20 3 1 16 17:48 10
11 Dangkor Senchey 20 2 3 15 18:51 9
Promotion - CPL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - CPL 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)