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Danubio U20 vs Flamengo RJ U20

South America South America

Copa Libertadores U20 2025 Estadio Carfem, Ypané
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Lemos J.
46'
Sub
Lemos J. In: German F.
Out: Lemos J.
49' Event
Felipe Teresa
Assist: Daniel Sales

AI Match Summary

Flamengo RJ U20 in this Copa Libertadores U20 2025 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Danubio U20
15%
Draws
57%
Flamengo RJ U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flamengo RJ U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Flamengo RJ U20 have won more games recently than Danubio U20.
  • Win probability leans Flamengo RJ U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Flamengo RJ U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Flamengo RJ U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Danubio U20 Clean Sheet 19%
Flamengo RJ U20 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Danubio U20 Flamengo RJ U20
Matches Played 5 30
Wins 2 17
Draws 0 7
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.6 2.07
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2025 Copa Libertadores U20
Flamengo RJ U20 vs Danubio U20
1:0
Mar 4, 2025 Copa Libertadores U20
Danubio U20 vs Flamengo RJ U20
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Danubio U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Flamengo RJ U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Felipe Teresa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Mata
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio U20 10 / 100
Flamengo RJ U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Danubio U20 Flamengo RJ U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Danubio U20 scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Flamengo RJ U20 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Danubio U20 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Flamengo RJ U20
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Danubio U20

(Home)
16 Mar
Danubio U20
1 : 5
CA Belgrano de Cordoba U20
13 Mar
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 0
Danubio U20
07 Mar
Olimpia Asuncion U20
2 : 3
Danubio U20
04 Mar
Danubio U20
1 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
01 Mar
O'Higgins U20
0 : 3
Danubio U20

Flamengo RJ U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
1 : 3
Fluminense U20
19 Sept
Botafogo RJ U20
0 : 1
Flamengo RJ U20
12 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
6 : 2
Volta Redonda U20
08 Sept
Flamengo RJ U20
6 : 0
Forte U20
04 Sept
Bangu U20
0 : 3
Flamengo RJ U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo RJ U20 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Danubio U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 O'Higgins U20 3 0 2 1 1:4 2
4 Olimpia Asuncion U20 3 0 1 2 4:10 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CA Belgrano de Cordoba U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Universitario de Deportes U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Fortaleza U20 3 1 1 1 3:1 4
4 Metropolitanos U20 3 0 0 3 1:10 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Cerro Porteno U20 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
3 Blooming U20 3 0 2 1 0:6 2
4 Independiente del Valle U20 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores U20 2025 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams