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Danubio vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Rodriguez S.
32'
Costa S.
42'
Sub
Velazquez E. In: Pereyra J.
Out: Velazquez E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Albion finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Danubio
20%
Draws
38%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Danubio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Danubio haven't matched Albion's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Danubio taking it.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Danubio Clean Sheet 13%
Albion Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Danubio Albion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Albion
0:1
Oct 16, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Albion
3:0
May 27, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Danubio
1:2
Nov 1, 2021 Segunda Division
Albion vs Danubio
2:1
Jul 22, 2021 Segunda Division
Danubio vs Albion
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Danubio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Danubio 40 / 100
Albion 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Danubio Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Danubio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Albion's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Danubio VS Albion
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Danubio

(Home)
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0
Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1
Juventud
05 Jun
Wanderers
0 : 0
Danubio
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

Albion

(Away)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
07 Jun
Progreso
1 : 2
Albion
31 May
Albion
1 : 2
Montevideo City
23 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Albion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)