Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Fernandez S. In: Femia E.
Out: Fernandez S.
36'
36'
Lago P.
44'
44'
Rossi I.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Juventud finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Juventud carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Danubio's way, sitting at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Danubio Clean Sheet 20%
Juventud Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.18 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
1:1
Mar 16, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
4:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Juventud
2:1
Jun 21, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
3:1
Feb 9, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Danubio
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Danubio Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Juventud Compare
Top Goalscorer Peralta R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Danubio 36 / 100
Juventud 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Danubio Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Juventud has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Danubio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Danubio found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Scoring Trends
Danubio VS Juventud
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home) 23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
14 Aug
Boston River
0 : 0 Danubio
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1 CA Cerro
01 Aug
Albion
2 : 2 Danubio
24 Jul
Montevideo City
1 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1 CA Cerro
11 Jul
Danubio
0 : 0 Club Nacional
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1 Juventud
30 May
Danubio
1 : 2 Progreso
Page 1 of 3
Juventud
(Away) 22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1 Montevideo City
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
01 Aug
Maldonado
0 : 0 Juventud
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1 Juventud
05 Jul
Danubio
1 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | 4 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs)
