Sport Picks
Danubio vs Montevideo City
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo 
Match Events
23'
23'
Cabrera E.
31'
31'
Andrade L.
33'
33'
Pereyra J.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Montevideo City finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
11%
20%
69%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Montevideo City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Montevideo City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Montevideo City's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Danubio Clean Sheet 11%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Montevideo City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 18 |
| Draws | 14 | 3 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.76 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Montevideo City vs Danubio
2:0
Jul 24, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Danubio
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Montevideo City
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Danubio Compare
Top Goalscorer Cabrera E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Montevideo City Compare
Top Goalscorer Aguero E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Danubio 10 / 100
Montevideo City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Danubio Montevideo City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Montevideo City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montevideo City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Danubio scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Solid form: Danubio remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Danubio VS Montevideo City
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home) 20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4 Penarol
01 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 0 Danubio
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4 Penarol
26 Aug
Danubio
3 : 2 Atenas
23 Aug
Danubio
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
Montevideo City
(Away) 21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
18 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 0 Cienciano
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1 Liverpool M.
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 4 Montevideo City
11 Sept
Cienciano
2 : 0 Montevideo City
29 Aug
Defensor Sp.
1 : 3 Montevideo City
26 Aug
Penarol
1 : 0 Montevideo City
15 Aug
Juventud
0 : 1 Montevideo City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
