Sport Picks
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo María Mincheff de Lazaroff, Montevideo 
Match Events
38'
38'
Velazquez E.
46'
46'
Sub
Velazquez E. In: Cavanagh T.
Out: Velazquez E.
56'
56'
Brasil M.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Danubio and Racing Montevideo finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Danubio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Racing Montevideo come out ahead of Danubio on wins alone.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Danubio taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Danubio Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Montevideo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Danubio | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 12 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
Feb 21, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Danubio
4:0
Nov 2, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Racing Montevideo vs Danubio
1:2
Jun 18, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo
1:2
May 3, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Danubio vs Racing Montevideo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Danubio 95 / 100
Racing Montevideo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Danubio Racing Montevideo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Danubio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Montevideo let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Danubio has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Racing Montevideo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Danubio VS Racing Montevideo
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Danubio
(Home) 18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6 Danubio
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0 Danubio
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0 Danubio
Page 1 of 6
18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0 Central Esp.
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
24 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Penarol
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1 Wanderers
05 Sept
Danubio
0 : 4 Penarol
Page 1 of 3
Racing Montevideo
(Away) 17 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 0 Wanderers
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0 Racing Montevideo
04 Oct
Racing Montevideo
0 : 1 Penarol
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1 Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Juventud
2 : 0 Racing Montevideo
26 Sept
Progreso
2 : 1 Racing Montevideo
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0 Racing Montevideo
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 24 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 23 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Penarol | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maldonado | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 6 | CA Cerro | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | 18 |
| 7 | Juventud | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:8 | 17 |
| 8 | Progreso | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 12:13 | 16 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Danubio | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:11 | 10 |
| 13 | Albion | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12:19 | 9 |
| 14 | Defensor Sp. | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 8 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:18 | 5 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
