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Darajani Gogo vs Kibera

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Darajani Gogo and Kibera finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kibera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Darajani Gogo
30%
Draws
12%
Kibera
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Darajani Gogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Darajani Gogo haven't matched Kibera's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Darajani Gogo taking it.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Darajani Gogo Clean Sheet 68%
Kibera Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darajani Gogo Kibera
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.74 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Kibera
0:1
Nov 23, 2025 Super League
Kibera vs Darajani Gogo
0:1
Mar 29, 2025 Super League
Darajani Gogo vs Kibera
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs Darajani Gogo
1:0
Apr 28, 2024 Super League
Kibera vs Darajani Gogo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darajani Gogo 77 / 100
Kibera 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darajani Gogo Kibera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darajani Gogo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kibera let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Darajani Gogo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Kibera's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Darajani Gogo found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Darajani Gogo VS Kibera
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Darajani Gogo

(Home)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Darajani Gogo
2 : 1
Kisumu All-Stars
01 Jun
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Darajani Gogo
28 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 1
MOFA
23 May
Darajani Gogo
1 : 0
Vihiga United
Page 1 of 7

Kibera

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Kibera
1 : 2
MCF
01 Jun
MOFA
1 : 1
Kibera
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Migori
1 : 0
Kibera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
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