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Darda vs NASK Nasice

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL East
Darda Logo

Darda

3 - 1
FT
NASK Nasice Logo

NASK Nasice

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL East game between Darda and NASK Nasice finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Darda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Darda
15%
Draws
28%
NASK Nasice
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Darda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Darda's 1.17 goals per match outpaces what NASK Nasice have produced (1.13).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Darda Clean Sheet 10%
NASK Nasice Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darda NASK Nasice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL East
Darda vs NASK Nasice
3:1
Nov 20, 2021 3. HNL East
NASK Nasice vs Darda
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darda 30 / 100
NASK Nasice 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darda NASK Nasice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NASK Nasice Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

NASK Nasice has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: NASK Nasice has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Darda's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Darda VS NASK Nasice
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Darda

(Home)
28 May
Granicar Zupanja
6 : 2
Darda
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
15 May
Bedem Ivankovo
3 : 0
Darda
07 May
Darda
1 : 4
Kutjevo
04 May
Vuteks Sloga
1 : 3
Darda
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NASK Nasice

(Away)
28 May
NASK Nasice
4 : 0
Omladinac Gornja Vrba
21 May
Darda
3 : 1
NASK Nasice
14 May
NASK Nasice
0 : 3
Vukovar 1991
07 May
Oriolik
2 : 1
NASK Nasice
04 May
NASK Nasice
1 : 2
Marsonia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vukovar 1991 34 25 7 2 80:20 82
2 Zrinski Osjecko 34 24 6 4 69:33 78
3 Belisce 34 23 6 5 95:28 75
4 Marsonia 34 21 7 6 61:25 70
5 Slavonija Pozega 34 18 7 9 60:38 61
6 Croatia Dakovo 34 16 11 7 60:38 59
7 Bedem Ivankovo 34 13 8 13 53:52 47
8 Slavija Pleternica 34 13 6 15 57:68 45
9 Kutjevo 34 12 7 15 59:62 43
10 Granicar Zupanja 34 11 7 16 43:52 40
11 Sloga Nova Gradiska 34 12 3 19 46:71 39
12 Oriolik 34 11 5 18 43:71 38
13 Cepin 34 8 10 16 46:64 34
14 Darda 34 9 5 20 44:71 32
15 Vuteks Sloga 34 9 4 21 52:81 31
16 NASK Nasice 34 7 9 18 38:63 30
17 Omladinac Gornja Vrba 34 8 6 20 35:63 30
18 Slavonac Bukovlje 34 7 4 23 36:77 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)