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Stadium Background

Darmstadt U21 vs Fernwald - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Darmstadt U21 in this Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darmstadt U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Darmstadt U21
35%
Draws
26%
Fernwald
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Darmstadt U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Darmstadt U21 have won more games recently than Fernwald.
  • Darmstadt U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fernwald have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Darmstadt U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Fernwald Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darmstadt U21 Fernwald
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 4 13
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 2.31 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs Fernwald
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Darmstadt U21
2:0
Apr 5, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
Fernwald vs Darmstadt U21
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
Darmstadt U21 vs Fernwald
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darmstadt U21 38 / 100
Fernwald 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darmstadt U21 Fernwald

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darmstadt U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Darmstadt U21's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Fernwald has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Darmstadt U21 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darmstadt U21 VS Fernwald
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Darmstadt U21

(Home)
03 Oct
Hunfelder
0 : 3
Darmstadt U21
26 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Alzenau
19 Sept
Stadtallendorf
2 : 0
Darmstadt U21
12 Sept
Darmstadt U21
2 : 3
Pohlheim
09 Sept
Darmstadt U21
3 : 1
RW Walldorf
Page 1 of 6

Fernwald

(Away)
03 Oct
Fernwald
2 : 2
RW Walldorf
26 Sept
Hummetroth
2 : 2
Fernwald
19 Sept
Fernwald
0 : 0
Eddersheim
12 Sept
Giessen
4 : 3
Fernwald
09 Sept
Pohlheim
1 : 1
Fernwald
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Frankfurt II 34 29 3 2 100:34 90
2 Eddersheim 34 19 7 8 75:50 64
3 Stadtallendorf 34 16 11 7 57:40 59
4 Giessen 34 18 4 12 74:57 57
5 Baunatal 34 16 8 10 65:51 55
6 Pohlheim 34 15 9 10 74:62 54
7 Turk Gucu Friedberg 34 14 7 13 57:59 49
8 Hunfelder 34 15 3 16 68:64 48
9 Hanauer SC 34 14 5 15 49:66 47
10 RW Walldorf 34 13 8 13 90:76 47
11 Darmstadt U21 34 13 6 15 75:69 45
12 VfB Marburg 34 13 6 15 47:58 45
13 Fernwald 34 11 9 14 59:54 42
14 Hummetroth 34 13 5 16 64:64 41
15 CSC 03 Kassel 34 10 9 15 63:82 39
16 Waldgirmes 34 9 6 19 47:69 33
17 Weidenhausen 34 5 7 22 44:92 22
18 Hanau 34 3 7 24 32:93 15
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2025/2026 (Relegation)