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Dartford vs Chatham

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Smith D.
43' Event
Box O.
63' Event
Robins J.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Dartford and Chatham finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Dartford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Dartford
15%
Draws
7%
Chatham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dartford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chatham come out ahead of Dartford on wins alone.
  • Dartford are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Dartford here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Dartford Clean Sheet 68%
Chatham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dartford Chatham
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 15 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1.81 1.91
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Chatham
3:2
Dec 27, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Dartford
1:2
Jan 1, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Chatham vs Dartford
0:2
Aug 26, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Chatham
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dartford Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Box O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Chatham Compare

Top Goalscorer Robins J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Allen B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dartford 95 / 100
Chatham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dartford Chatham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dartford found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Chatham let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Dartford has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dartford VS Chatham
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Dartford

(Home)
08 Aug
Three Bridges
2 : 3
Dartford
01 Aug
Dartford
4 : 0
Ashford United
25 Jul
Faversham
0 : 2
Dartford
21 Jul
Dartford
0 : 3
Billericay
14 Jul
Sutton Athletic
1 : 2
Dartford
Page 1 of 7

Chatham

(Away)
08 Aug
St. Albans
3 : 1
Chatham
01 Aug
Chatham
0 : 3
Maidstone
18 Jul
Chatham
1 : 2
Margate
07 Jul
Chatham
0 : 2
Herne Bay
04 Jul
Chatham
2 : 2
Slough Town
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)