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Dartford vs Cray Valley

England England

Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Dsane E.
50' Event
Evans M.
52' Event
Olarewaju M.

AI Match Summary

The Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Dartford and Cray Valley finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cray Valley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dartford
30%
Draws
19%
Cray Valley
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dartford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dartford carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dartford's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Dartford Clean Sheet 20%
Cray Valley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dartford Cray Valley
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 17
Goals Scored 1.93 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Cray Valley
2:3
Nov 22, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Dartford
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Cray Valley
4:3
Nov 2, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Dartford vs Cray Valley
0:0
Aug 10, 2024 Isthmian League Premier Division
Cray Valley vs Dartford
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dartford Compare

Top Goalscorer Dsane E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Olarewaju M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Cray Valley Compare

Top Goalscorer Dickson C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Evans M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dartford 85 / 100
Cray Valley 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dartford Cray Valley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dartford Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dartford found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Cray Valley has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Dartford stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dartford VS Cray Valley
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Dartford

(Home)
15 Sept
Enfield Town
0 : 2
Dartford
12 Sept
Carshalton
0 : 3
Dartford
08 Sept
Dartford
2 : 0
Westfield
05 Sept
Westfield
1 : 1
Dartford
31 Aug
Dartford
1 : 0
Chatham
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Cray Valley

(Away)
29 Aug
Erith Town
2 : 1
Cray Valley
28 Jul
Cray Valley
2 : 3
Ebbsfleet
25 Apr
Dartford
2 : 3
Cray Valley
18 Apr
Cray Valley
1 : 1
Folkestone
11 Apr
Hashtag
1 : 1
Cray Valley
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folkestone 42 29 9 4 102:40 96
2 Aveley 42 24 12 6 90:51 84
3 Billericay 42 24 10 8 81:48 82
4 Chatham 42 24 7 11 83:35 79
5 Brentwood 42 24 6 12 84:66 78
6 Dartford 42 20 12 10 81:55 72
7 Cray Wanderers 42 17 16 9 79:71 67
8 Burgess Hill 42 20 7 15 76:81 67
9 Dulwich Hamlet 42 17 11 14 61:53 62
10 Ramsgate 42 15 12 15 73:68 57
11 St. Albans 42 16 8 18 71:59 56
12 Chichester City 42 14 13 15 57:63 55
13 Cheshunt 42 12 14 16 65:70 50
14 Whitehawk 42 12 13 17 58:72 49
15 Welling 42 15 3 24 54:75 48
16 Wingate & Finchley 42 12 10 20 55:67 46
17 Lewes 42 13 7 22 47:83 46
18 Carshalton 42 10 14 18 61:73 44
19 Cray Valley 42 11 9 22 54:80 42
20 Hashtag 42 11 9 22 60:87 42
21 Potters 42 9 3 30 46:94 30
22 Canvey Island 42 6 9 27 40:87 27
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Isthmian League Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)