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Darya Babol vs Esteghlal Molasani - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iran Iran

Division 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Jahani M.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Jahani M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Darya Babol in this Division 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Darya Babol.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Darya Babol
30%
Draws
23%
Esteghlal Molasani
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Darya Babol

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Esteghlal Molasani have won more games recently than Darya Babol.
  • Model gives Darya Babol a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Darya Babol Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Molasani Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Darya Babol Esteghlal Molasani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 12 9
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.97 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2024 Azadegan League
Darya Babol vs Esteghlal Molasani
2:0
Nov 29, 2023 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Darya Babol
2:2
Mar 16, 2023 Azadegan League
Darya Babol vs Esteghlal Molasani
4:1
Oct 18, 2022 Azadegan League
Esteghlal Molasani vs Darya Babol
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Darya Babol 95 / 100
Esteghlal Molasani 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Darya Babol Esteghlal Molasani

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Darya Babol Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Darya Babol found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Esteghlal Molasani let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Darya Babol stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Darya Babol VS Esteghlal Molasani
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Darya Babol

(Home)
10 Jun
Chadormalu
1 : 0
Darya Babol
05 Jun
Darya Babol
3 : 1
Pars Janoobi Jam
30 May
Shahre Raz
1 : 1
Darya Babol
13 May
Darya Babol
2 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
08 May
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0
Darya Babol
Page 1 of 6

Esteghlal Molasani

(Away)
10 Jun
Ario Eslamshahr
0 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
05 Jun
Esteghlal Molasani
1 : 0
Mes Shahr Babak
30 May
Esteghlal Molasani
2 : 6
Kheybar Khorramabad
19 May
Esteghlal Molasani
0 : 3
Fajr Sepasi
13 May
Darya Babol
2 : 0
Esteghlal Molasani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kheybar Khorramabad 34 25 2 7 59:25 77
2 Fajr Sepasi 34 22 7 5 50:17 73
3 Chadormalu 34 22 7 5 47:20 73
4 Naft Masjed-Soleyman 34 16 13 5 47:29 58
5 Saipa 34 13 11 10 35:28 50
6 Mes Kerman 34 11 15 8 28:24 48
7 Ario Eslamshahr 34 11 13 10 28:28 46
8 Mes Shahr Babak 34 11 11 12 32:26 44
9 Naft Gachsaran 34 10 13 11 35:26 43
10 Kara Gostar Shabestar 34 11 10 13 27:34 43
11 Pars Janoobi Jam 34 11 10 13 33:42 43
12 Esteghlal Molasani 34 10 13 11 26:33 38
13 Shahre Raz 34 8 12 14 25:34 36
14 Shahrdari Astara 34 9 6 19 22:44 33
15 Damash Gilan 34 7 11 16 32:45 32
16 Darya Babol 34 6 13 15 30:41 31
17 Shahin Bandar Ameri 34 4 9 8 21:51 27
18 Khoosheh Talai 34 6 6 22 17:47 24
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