Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dassendorf vs Rugenbergen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Harnik M.
21' Event
Stromer L.
37' Event
Kurczynski K.

AI Match Summary

Dassendorf in this Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 6-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dassendorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Dassendorf
30%
Draws
23%
Rugenbergen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dassendorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Dassendorf lately — more wins on the board than Rugenbergen.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Dassendorf taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga Hamburg 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Dassendorf Clean Sheet 68%
Rugenbergen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dassendorf Rugenbergen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.61 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2024 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Rugenbergen
6:0
Sep 8, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Dassendorf
0:4
Apr 27, 2023 Oberliga Hamburg
Rugenbergen vs Dassendorf
2:2
Aug 23, 2022 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Rugenbergen
4:1
Jan 23, 2021 Oberliga Hamburg
Dassendorf vs Rugenbergen
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Dassendorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Stromer L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kurczynski K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Rugenbergen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dassendorf 95 / 100
Rugenbergen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dassendorf Rugenbergen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dassendorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Dassendorf scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Rugenbergen conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Dassendorf has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Dassendorf VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dassendorf

(Home)
21 Aug
Harksheide
1 : 3
Dassendorf
14 Aug
Dassendorf
6 : 0
Altona
02 Aug
TSV Buchholz 08
0 : 4
Dassendorf
25 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
02 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 2
St. Pauli II
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Rugenbergen

(Away)
17 May
Rugenbergen
1 : 1
HEBC Hamburg
11 May
Sasel
3 : 3
Rugenbergen
26 Apr
SC Victoria Hamburg
5 : 0
Rugenbergen
21 Apr
Rugenbergen
3 : 0
Tornesch
14 Apr
Rugenbergen
0 : 3
Altona
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Altona 34 25 7 2 91:29 82
2 Dassendorf 34 24 5 5 96:36 77
3 ETSV Hamburg 34 18 9 7 74:43 63
4 Niendorfer TSV 34 18 8 8 86:51 62
5 HEBC Hamburg 34 16 11 7 75:52 59
6 Sasel 34 16 8 10 76:54 56
7 Paloma 34 14 8 12 58:56 50
8 SC Victoria Hamburg 34 14 7 13 79:67 49
9 Suderelbe 34 13 9 12 85:61 48
10 TSV Buchholz 08 34 13 7 14 65:65 46
11 Harksheide 34 12 10 12 61:63 46
12 Halstenbek-Rellingen 34 11 9 14 70:70 42
13 TSV Concordia 34 11 6 17 71:91 39
14 Alsterbruder 34 10 4 20 70:91 34
15 Turkiye Wilhelmsburg 34 9 5 20 57:82 32
16 Rugenbergen 34 9 3 22 46:84 30
17 Tornesch 34 6 6 22 43:106 24
18 Duneberg 34 5 2 27 39:141 17
Promotion - Oberliga NOFV-Nord 2024/2025 (Play Offs)