Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Dauphins Noirs vs Celeste

DR Congo DR Congo

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dauphins Noirs in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dauphins Noirs.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dauphins Noirs
35%
Draws
14%
Celeste
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Dauphins Noirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dauphins Noirs have won more games recently than Celeste.
  • Model gives Dauphins Noirs a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Dauphins Noirs Clean Sheet 20%
Celeste Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dauphins Noirs Celeste
Matches Played 26 38
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.35 1.11
Goals Conceded 0.77 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2026 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Celeste
3:2
Dec 11, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Dauphins Noirs
1:0
Mar 6, 2025 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Dauphins Noirs
0:0
Nov 16, 2024 Ligue 1
Dauphins Noirs vs Celeste
1:0
Nov 11, 2023 Ligue 1
Celeste vs Dauphins Noirs
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dauphins Noirs 85 / 100
Celeste 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dauphins Noirs Celeste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dauphins Noirs Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Dauphins Noirs stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Dauphins Noirs scored in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Celeste let in goals in 63% of their last 38 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Dauphins Noirs VS Celeste
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Dauphins Noirs

(Home)
15 Apr
Dauphins Noirs
3 : 0
AC Rangers
09 Apr
FC Renaissance
0 : 0
Dauphins Noirs
28 Mar
Aigles du Congo
0 : 2
Dauphins Noirs
25 Mar
AS Vita Club
0 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
18 Mar
Motema Pembe
1 : 1
Dauphins Noirs
Page 1 of 6

Celeste

(Away)
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
St Eloi Lupopo
1 : 1
Celeste
14 Jun
Celeste
1 : 3
AS Maniema
10 Jun
Celeste
1 : 1
Simba
07 Jun
Don Bosco
2 : 2
Celeste
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 23 4 3 57:12 73
2 St Eloi Lupopo 30 19 6 5 55:27 63
3 Don Bosco 30 16 8 6 43:24 56
4 Simba 30 14 8 8 33:27 50
5 Manika 30 12 12 6 31:20 48
6 Tanganyika 30 13 5 12 38:32 44
7 Lubumbashi Sport 30 11 10 9 27:26 43
8 Blessing 30 11 7 12 33:31 40
9 Sanga Balende 30 10 6 14 25:34 36
10 Saint-Luc 30 9 8 13 21:33 35
11 Malole 30 9 6 15 34:39 33
12 New Soger 30 9 6 15 29:40 33
13 Tshinkunku 30 7 10 13 23:41 31
14 Groupe Bazano 30 7 9 14 26:38 30
15 Tshikas 30 6 10 14 25:40 28
16 US Panda 30 5 1 24 17:59 16
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Maniema 27 13 13 1 38:10 52
2 AS Vita Club 27 13 11 3 35:13 50
3 Aigles du Congo 26 13 9 4 32:16 48
4 Dauphins Noirs 26 13 6 7 35:20 45
5 Celeste 26 12 8 6 36:13 44
6 Etoile de Kivu 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
7 Motema Pembe 26 7 14 5 33:25 35
8 Anges Verts 26 6 11 9 26:32 29
9 New Jack 26 6 11 9 20:26 29
10 AC Rangers 27 7 8 12 21:35 29
11 FC MK Etancheite 26 6 8 12 15:35 26
12 FC Renaissance 27 4 13 10 21:40 25
13 OC Renaissance 26 4 10 12 14:33 22
14 Bukavu Dawa 26 2 8 16 10:37 14
15 Martin Pecheur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Championship Group)