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Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC

Philippines Philippines

PFL
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Talaroc K.
60' Event
Tetteh R.
87' Event
Bedic J.

AI Match Summary

Davao Aguilas in this PFL matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Davao Aguilas
28%
Draws
50%
Kaya FC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Kaya FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Kaya FC have won more games recently than Davao Aguilas.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Kaya FC taking it.
  • Regular PFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%
Kaya FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Kaya FC
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 16
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
3:1
Apr 12, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
1:0
Feb 16, 2025 PFL
Kaya FC vs Davao Aguilas
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Kaya FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Talaroc K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tetteh R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kaya FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Bedic J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 22 / 100
Kaya FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Kaya FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Kaya FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Davao Aguilas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Kaya FC
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
16 May
Kaya FC
3 : 1
Davao Aguilas
09 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 0
Manila Digger
Page 1 of 7

Kaya FC

(Away)
30 May
Cebu FC
1 : 0
Kaya FC
27 May
Kaya FC
0 : 3
Manila Digger
23 May
Taguig
1 : 3
Kaya FC
16 May
Kaya FC
3 : 1
Davao Aguilas
09 May
Kaya FC
2 : 2
Stallion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manila Digger201730103:1354
2Taguig20171284:952
3Cebu FC20133470:2142
4Kaya FC20132568:1341
5Stallion2096558:2233
6Davao Aguilas20102845:2832
7Maharlika Manila2092943:3529
8Don Bosco Garelli20501532:7415
9Tuloy20321527:11911
10Mendiola FC 199120211713:997
11Philippine Army20021814:1242
Promotion - PFL (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL (Placement Group)