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Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tetteh R.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Davao Aguilas and Manila Digger finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
48%
Manila Digger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Manila Digger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Manila Digger carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Manila Digger a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 15%
Manila Digger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Manila Digger
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 14 22
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 2.03 3.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 PFL
Manila Digger vs Davao Aguilas
3:1
Jan 17, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
0:0
Mar 16, 2025 PFL
Manila Digger vs Davao Aguilas
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Manila Digger
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Tetteh R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

Manila Digger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 15 / 100
Manila Digger 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Manila Digger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Manila Digger Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Davao Aguilas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Manila Digger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Manila Digger
1.43 Goals Scored 2.25
0.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 88%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
16 May
Kaya FC
3 : 1
Davao Aguilas
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Manila Digger

(Away)
27 Sept
Manila Digger
2 : 0
Azkals
20 Sept
Stallion
0 : 3
Manila Digger
12 Sept
Kasuka
1 : 4
Manila Digger
04 Sept
Manila Digger
5 : 1
Kasuka
31 Aug
Persib Bandung
1 : 0
Manila Digger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 25 18 6 1 109:17 60
2 Taguig 25 18 4 3 91:15 58
3 Kaya FC 25 15 3 7 76:21 48
4 Cebu FC 25 14 6 5 74:25 48
5 Davao Aguilas 25 12 4 9 51:34 40
6 Stallion 25 9 10 6 64:31 37
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)