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Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Air Force - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Reyes Dalapo U.
33' Event
N'Dour I.
45' Event
Mun Te-su

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2024 game between Davao Aguilas and Philippine Air Force finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Davao Aguilas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Davao Aguilas
20%
Draws
28%
Philippine Air Force
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Philippine Air Force haven't matched Davao Aguilas's recent run of results.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Davao Aguilas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 20%
Philippine Air Force Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Philippine Air Force
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 21 6
Draws 7 2
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 2.11 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 3.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Philippine Air Force
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Top Goalscorer Mun Te-su
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reyes Dalapo U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.11

Philippine Air Force Compare

Top Goalscorer Delariarte J. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 85 / 100
Philippine Air Force 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Philippine Air Force

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Davao Aguilas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Philippine Air Force conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Davao Aguilas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Davao Aguilas scored in 74% of their last 38 games.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 8

Philippine Air Force

(Away)
14 Jul
Davao Aguilas
5 : 2
Philippine Air Force
07 Jul
Philippine Air Force
2 : 0
Philippine Army
29 Jun
Manila Montet
0 : 8
Philippine Air Force
22 Jun
Philippine Air Force
1 : 2
Manila Digger
16 Jun
Don Bosco Garelli
1 : 0
Philippine Air Force
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kaya FC 14 13 1 0 82:5 40
2 Cebu FC 14 12 0 2 66:9 36
3 Stallion 14 10 2 2 65:12 32
4 Davao Aguilas 14 10 2 2 39:6 32
5 Taguig 14 9 4 1 69:14 31
6 United City 14 9 3 2 51:13 30
7 Manila Digger 14 8 0 6 35:25 24
8 Loyola 14 5 1 8 32:45 16
9 Maharlika Manila 14 5 1 8 23:53 16
10 Mendiola FC 1991 14 4 1 9 27:46 13
11 Don Bosco Garelli 14 4 0 10 15:85 12
12 Tuloy 14 3 0 11 28:52 9
13 Philippine Air Force 14 3 0 11 19:59 9
14 Philippine Army 14 2 1 11 15:42 7
15 Manila Montet 14 0 0 14 3:103 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2024/2025 (Qualification)