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Davao Aguilas vs Taguig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Philippines Philippines

PFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hiraishi N.
26' Event
Agyemang I.
29' Event
Teves Aldeguer A. R.

AI Match Summary

The PFL 2025/2026 game between Davao Aguilas and Taguig finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Taguig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Davao Aguilas
35%
Draws
23%
Taguig
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Davao Aguilas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Taguig come out ahead of Davao Aguilas on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Davao Aguilas's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular PFL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Davao Aguilas Clean Sheet 10%
Taguig Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Davao Aguilas Taguig
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 15 22
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 2.03 3.88
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.66
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Taguig
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Taguig
1:4
Sep 21, 2025 PFL
Taguig vs Davao Aguilas
3:0
Feb 23, 2025 PFL
Taguig vs Davao Aguilas
0:2
Oct 20, 2024 PFL
Davao Aguilas vs Taguig
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Davao Aguilas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Taguig Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiraishi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agyemang I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Davao Aguilas 74 / 100
Taguig 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Davao Aguilas Taguig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Davao Aguilas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Davao Aguilas has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Davao Aguilas scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Taguig has conceded goals in 47% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Davao Aguilas VS Taguig
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Davao Aguilas

(Home)
04 Oct
Davao Aguilas
2 : 1
Tuloy
06 Sept
Mendiola FC 1991
0 : 4
Davao Aguilas
30 May
Stallion
2 : 2
Davao Aguilas
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Cebu FC
0 : 1
Davao Aguilas
Page 1 of 6

Taguig

(Away)
30 May
Manila Digger
1 : 1
Taguig
27 May
Davao Aguilas
1 : 1
Taguig
23 May
Taguig
1 : 3
Kaya FC
20 May
Taguig
1 : 1
Cebu FC
16 May
Taguig
3 : 0
Stallion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manila Digger 20 17 3 0 103:13 54
2 Taguig 20 17 1 2 84:9 52
3 Cebu FC 20 13 3 4 70:21 42
4 Kaya FC 20 13 2 5 68:13 41
5 Stallion 20 9 6 5 58:22 33
6 Davao Aguilas 20 10 2 8 45:28 32
7 Maharlika Manila 20 9 2 9 43:35 29
8 Don Bosco Garelli 20 5 0 15 32:74 15
9 Tuloy 20 3 2 15 27:119 11
10 Mendiola FC 1991 20 2 1 17 13:99 7
11 Philippine Army 20 0 2 18 14:124 2
Promotion - PFL 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - PFL 2025/2026 (Placement Group)