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Dayton vs TFC Academy

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Dayton in this USL Premier Development League 2015 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dayton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Dayton
15%
Draws
34%
TFC Academy
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Very High Confidence
  • Dayton have won more games recently than TFC Academy.
  • Model gives Dayton a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Dayton Clean Sheet 17%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Dayton TFC Academy
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Dayton
4:1
Jun 25, 2016 USL League Two
Dayton vs TFC Academy
2:2
Jun 20, 2015 USL League Two
Dayton vs TFC Academy
2:1
Jun 13, 2015 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Dayton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Dayton 84 / 100
TFC Academy 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Dayton TFC Academy

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DAY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TFC Academy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Dayton's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Difficult form: TFC Academy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Dayton VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Dayton

(Home)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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TFC Academy

(Away)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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