Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DC United vs Charlotte FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Peglow
22' Event
Westwood A.
46'
Schnegg D.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between DC United and Charlotte FC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
DC United
35%
Draws
40%
Charlotte FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Charlotte FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Charlotte FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Charlotte FC
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 5 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Aug 22, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs DC United
3:1
Oct 4, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Jul 16, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs DC United
2:1
May 21, 2025 US Open Cup
DC United vs Charlotte FC
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Bartlett L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Westwood A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saint-Maximin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 34 / 100
Charlotte FC 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Charlotte FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:8
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

DC United's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Charlotte FC has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

DC United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Charlotte FC
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
30 Sept
DC United
0 : 1
Paderborn
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
Page 1 of 6

Charlotte FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 27 15 5 7 60:29 50
2 St. Louis City 27 13 8 6 48:36 47
3 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
4 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Seattle Sounders 27 10 8 9 35:35 38
8 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 27 6 3 18 32:65 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Chicago Fire 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
5 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 27 9 6 12 34:51 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)