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DC United vs Ethiopia

World World

Friendly International Audi Field
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DC United host Ethiopia in the Friendly International. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: DC United at 0.75 goals for, 1.63 against; Ethiopia at 1.2 for, 0.2 against. Head-to-head, DC United have won 0 to Ethiopia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.47 - 1.42) back Ethiopia to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
DC United
44%
Draws
20%
Ethiopia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of DC United on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
DC United Clean Sheet 17%
Ethiopia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Ethiopia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.75 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Friendly International
DC United vs Ethiopia
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International
DC United vs Ethiopia
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 36 / 100
Ethiopia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Ethiopia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Ethiopia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Ethiopia
0.75 Goals Scored 1.2
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.2
50% Over 1.5 40%
50% Over 2.5 20%
25% Over 3.5 0%