Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DC United vs Ethiopia

World World

Friendly International Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

DC United host Ethiopia in the Friendly International. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: DC United at 1.18 goals for, 1.57 against; Ethiopia at 1.14 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, DC United have won 0 to Ethiopia's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.23 - 1.33) back Ethiopia to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
DC United
30%
Draws
47%
Ethiopia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ethiopia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ethiopia come out ahead of DC United on wins alone.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Ethiopia taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
DC United Clean Sheet 18%
Ethiopia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Ethiopia
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 13 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Friendly International
DC United vs Ethiopia
0:0
Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International
DC United vs Ethiopia
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 20 / 100
Ethiopia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Ethiopia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ethiopia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Ethiopia has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Ethiopia
2.13 Goals Scored 0.67
2 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 33%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
DC United
19 Aug
DC United
0 : 3
New England Revolution
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Ethiopia

(Away)
09 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 1
Malawi
06 Jun
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Malawi
31 Mar
Ethiopia
1 : 0
Sao Tome and Principe
27 Mar
Sao Tome and Principe
0 : 3
Ethiopia
12 Oct
Burkina Faso
3 : 1
Ethiopia
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