Sport Picks

Stadium Background

DC United vs Nashville SC

USA USA

MLS Audi Field, Washington, DC
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Surridge S.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Mohammed S.
45'
Mukhtar H.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between DC United and Nashville SC finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
DC United
35%
Draws
37%
Nashville SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nashville SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Nashville SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 37% — that's where the model lands on Nashville SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
DC United Clean Sheet 10%
Nashville SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric DC United Nashville SC
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 6 17
Draws 12 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.37 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.7 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 MLS
DC United vs Nashville SC
2:2
May 10, 2026 MLS
Nashville SC vs DC United
2:2
Jul 10, 2025 US Open Cup
Nashville SC vs DC United
5:2
Jun 28, 2025 MLS
DC United vs Nashville SC
0:1
May 18, 2025 MLS
Nashville SC vs DC United
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

DC United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hefti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baribo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nashville SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mohammed S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

DC United 14 / 100
Nashville SC 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
DC United Nashville SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nashville SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Attacking prowess: DC United scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: DC United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nashville SC let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

DC United VS Nashville SC
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

DC United

(Home)
27 Sept
Vancouver Whitecaps
3 : 3
DC United
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
DC United
0 : 0
Atlanta United
09 Sept
DC United
2 : 1
Columbus Crew
29 Aug
DC United
0 : 0
Los Angeles FC
Page 1 of 6

Nashville SC

(Away)
27 Sept
Nashville SC
2 : 0
Toronto FC
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0
Chicago Fire
12 Sept
Inter Miami
2 : 2
Nashville SC
09 Sept
Toronto FC
2 : 1
Nashville SC
04 Sept
New York City
0 : 0
Nashville SC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 26 15 5 6 59:26 50
2 FC Dallas 27 13 8 6 50:42 47
3 San Jose Earthquakes 27 13 6 8 49:39 45
4 Houston Dynamo 27 13 5 9 34:32 44
5 St. Louis City 26 12 8 6 45:36 44
6 Los Angeles FC 28 11 8 9 43:30 41
7 Colorado Rapids 27 11 3 13 38:38 36
8 Los Angeles Galaxy 28 9 9 10 37:44 36
9 Seattle Sounders 26 9 8 9 33:34 35
10 Portland Timbers 27 9 5 13 48:51 32
11 Real Salt Lake 27 9 5 13 40:44 32
12 San Diego FC 27 8 8 11 47:47 32
13 Austin FC 27 7 10 10 35:47 31
14 Minnesota United 27 7 8 12 40:49 29
15 Sporting Kansas City 26 6 3 17 31:63 21
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nashville SC 27 18 6 3 55:21 60
2 New England Revolution 27 14 4 9 45:36 46
3 Inter Miami 27 12 10 5 64:50 46
4 Charlotte FC 27 12 7 8 47:38 43
5 Chicago Fire 26 12 6 8 46:38 42
6 Philadelphia Union 27 11 6 10 54:44 39
7 Orlando City 27 10 4 13 48:64 34
8 New York Red Bulls 26 9 6 11 34:48 33
9 New York City 27 8 9 10 41:36 33
10 FC Cincinnati 26 8 9 9 55:64 33
11 DC United 26 6 12 8 34:42 30
12 Columbus Crew 27 8 5 14 39:43 29
13 Toronto FC 27 6 11 10 39:51 29
14 Atlanta United 27 7 6 14 32:45 27
15 CF Montreal 27 6 6 15 34:54 24
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)